Green 4
Robert Smith
vs
Brian Voss

I am stuck on this one. I just don't know how this one if going to play out. I really expect Brian to have more problems with the oil transitions down lane and if Robert effects Brian's laydown area I don't see Brian being able to get the ball to hit from in. At the same time the pattern is awful short and the gutter doesn't hook enough for Robert to open it up that easily. I will pick Robert because of the number of scouts.

Green 3
Amleto Monacelli
vs
Jack Jurek

Amleto is a little grabby on this pattern right now. He needs to clean things up a little to avoid the quick transition. Jack will not have to move as quickly or as drastically. If Amleto can clean it up he will be able to bank it off of Jack's break down. But that is liable to happen late.

Green 2
Patrick Allen
vs
Christopher Collins

Pattern, Surface and Transition favor Patrick on this one. I see Games 2 and especially 3 and 4 being difficult for Chris and by that time Patrick will have his side of the lane set up and the lane surface being cleaner on the left will be easier to follow

Green 1
Brad Angelo
vs
Tore Torgersen

I have seen this type of match up for Brad before. He likes to transition the lane  in a higher scoring fashion. But to be honest with you I don't think he should in this match. After Brad widens the target area he doesn't seem to make the move in and adapt to the different angles quickly enough. He usually winds up with too strong of a ball effecting his carry. He will be made aware of that in the AM

Blue 4
Walter Ray Williams Jr.
vs
Mike Fagan

There is no guarantee that Michael is going to be able to get close enough to Walter on the fresh to widen the target area. Meaning he would have to commit to playing a zone that will most likely cause him to loose the first two games. Mike is a little to cautious or defensive in his game plans right now. He will need to clean up his release and not jump left too fast. Walter could actually move right.

Blue 3
Ben Laughlin
vs
Mike DeVaney

A clearer picture helped Mike in the night block. It will be interesting if it works in the morning. There is a spot on the lane that the lower rev players can get to that the higher rev players can not. Ben has a chance in this match unless Mike forces Ben to open his angles beyond his comfort zone. I know if Mike has enough time to actually think about it he is smart enough to effect Bens zone.

Blue 2
Tony Reyes
vs
Tim Criss

I like the length Tony's armswing and cleaner release on this match up. Tim has been working on cleaning up his release. He typically likes to hit or catch it too much. The transition is so quick this week and catching too much makes you have to move that much faster. Tony is not cinch because he can get a little grabby on a bad day too.

 

Blue 1
David Traber
vs
Michael Machuga

If Michael can get some sleep and come in with a clear head David will have little chance in this match. But that is no guarantee. This is not Dave's nut and Michael could easily make the show on this.

Black 4
Randy Pedersen
vs
Wes Malott

Randy's swing can look very good when he sees enough friction to let it go. He likes to feel it accelerate and with the added friction from 20-30 feet I don't see near as many repeating problems. Randy will likely try to use arc with surface and if he does, he will be simple prey for Wes.

Black 3
Jason Couch
vs
Patrick Healey Jr.

Picking a winner here will not be based on transition strategies. I don't think either of these bowlers have games that match up real well on what I expect to be there in the AM. I expect both to be using too much angle early to make the lanes transition well. There will be brooklyns and may have an impact on the winner several times. I think I will go with the lefty.

Black 2
Parker Bohn III
vs
Rick Steelsmith

I have always liked Rick's chances when he can get to match play, he sees and adapts to parallel lane breakdown well. He will have his own lane to work with. This could be interesting. Neither one of these bowlers are in complete control of their swing right now. The difference could be the one who can keep the elbow from bumping out early the best. The short pattern that doesn't play out is not favorable to flaws in the arm swing.

Black 1
Tommy Jones
vs
Brian Himmler

This may be the first time a bowler in quite some time might actually like the way Tommy breaks the lane down. I can both bowlers pushing oil to the midlane early and drying up the front at the same time. This should force Tommy deeper faster and assuming Brian starts as deep as I expect him to I honestly think Brian will see better transitions.

Red 4
Doug Kent
vs
Chris Barnes

This will be interesting and I would like to say this will be a good match. But to be honest with you I don't think it will be that good of a match. Dough likes to get his hand to the side of the ball and hit the ball on the side when he sees early friction. I don't like that type of roll reads transition when it happens as fast as it will tomorrow and a slight miss has a good chance of bucketing. I like Chris roll better.

Red 3
Rudy Kasimakis
vs
Ritchie Allen

THB versus ABT

Ritchie has nicknamed himself Typical House Bowler. Rudy is Anything But Typical. I started to say this was the most consistent scores I have seen Rudy have for the year but then I had to erase it because he has been pretty consistent. It is just his consistent scores have not been enough to make it to match play. Obviously Rudy is seeing something is more comfortable with.

Red 2
Ryan Shafer
vs
Mika Koivuniemi

I don't like this match up for Mika. Ryan likes to take advantage of the way his opponent breaks down the lane. There is no doubt he will do the same this week. Mika can break a lane down very nice. It will be very interesting to see what his strategy will be. Ryan was 48 over in the morning Mika was 108 over. Mika was another 108 in the evening. Ryan was 159 over this evening. I am glad they are bowling in the AM

TV

Green
Round of 8
Patrick Allen
vs
Amleto Monacelli
(Post Match comments)

How this match got to game seven surprised me. I will give credit to Amleto for getting it that far but he was over matched. Patrick is just plain awesome.

Blue
Round of 8
Tony Reyes
vs
Michael Fagan
(Post match comments)

I was concerned with this match up but Michael did a much better job of transitioning the lanes than he did in the round of 16.

Michael is quick to jump left and hopefully will gain confidence in his ability to play up the lane. The 289 he shot in game one was with a two inch pin Punisher.

Black
Round of 8
Tommy Jones
vs
Wes Malott

(Post Match comments)

I am watching old NFL tapes when typing this and they are talking about adjusting game plans and reacting to their opponents strategies. That is so much like we do on tour. I am sure that both Tommy and Wes were quite busy doing their best at reacting to the quick transitions they had to be seeing.

Red
Round of 8
Mike Scroggins
vs
Doug Kent

(post match comments)

A gallant effort by Doug  but Mikes look has been too good all week to think he had much of a real chance.

Green
Round of 16
2
Brian Voss
vs
Amleto Monacelli
(Post match comments)

I would have thought Brian was the favorite in this match-up and when I saw the recap of the scores. I see a couple late frame opens in games 1 and 2 by Brian were very key in the outcome of this match.

Green
Round of 16
1
Patrick Allen
vs
Brad Angelo

(Post match comments)

We were very concerned about the difference in scoring pace in this match and it proved to be real. As hard as Brad tried to develop the pattern it was just too much to overcome. He didn't have the natural match-up nor the time to get the lane set up for himself

Blue
Round of 16
2
Michael Fagan
vs
Ben Laughlin

Ben is starting to show the signs of frustration. I have not got to know Ben but he seems to be a very nice guy. I can feel for the confusion and frustration he is feeling but when the shoes are laced up and balls are on the rack Ben has a ways to go to compete in this environment. In his third year on tour Michael is still developing as well.

Blue
Round of 16
1
Tony Reyes
vs
David Traber

(post match comments)

This was the biggest upset in the round of 16 when you look at their performance in the round of 32. A slow start in game one by Dave turned out to be the key difference in the match.
 

Black
Round of 16
2
Jason Couch
vs
Wes Malott

 Wes had to be expecting a tougher match than he got out of Jason. I think Wes bowled as expected but Jason obviously was not as comfortable as he was in the round of 32. We have seen this happen on several occasions on the left side of the lane over the last couple years. Straighter is greater.

Black
Round of 16
1
Tommy Jones
vs
Parker Bohn III(post match comments)
By the time I am writing this I am pretty sure Parker is a proud PaPa of his first daughter. My thoughts are not on the match as much as they are on hoping everything is well for Parker, Leslie and their daughter. It wouldn't surprise me if Parker's mind wasn't totally into the match, and it would have to  have been to compete with Tommy

Red
Round of 16
2
Rudy Kasimakis
vs
Doug Kent

(post match comments)

Without the field to help transition the lanes Rudy was subject to the pattern and what he and Doug do to the lane. The difference in this match had to do with the ability of Doug to match up and control the transition. While Rudy needed the lane to transition to his liking.

Red
Round 16
1
Mike Scroggins
vs
Mika Koivuniemi

Post Match Comments

The results speaks volumes.

Red 1
Mike Scroggins
vs
DJ Archer

DJ was 159 over for his morning block and 46 under for the night block. Mike was 225 over for the morning block and 186 over for the night block. Mike is one of the hottest bowlers of the year. DJ hasn't made it past the round of 32 yet. (This is his 5th match play appearance) DJ is scrambling to keep his job. DJ is 58th in points and needs as many as he can get. You can feel the pressure building.